Japan Research

Prime Minister Kan has called for rethinking Japan’s energy policy. Needless to say, there are lots of people who are happy with the old policy of building more and more nuclear power plants and are thus unhappy with Kan. This includes not only all of those companies that have profited from the policy but also people who work there, local governments that have been very generously rewarded (bribed?) for hosting the plants, and more. The payments have been hot and heavy for decades, and many people are addicted. Faced with the prospect of a plant’s closing, they cry, “What will become of us?”

For an answer, they have only to think a bit. For the government to shift its emphasis from nuclear to solar and other sustainable energies will not mean the end of work. It will just shift the jobs. New facilities have to be developed, built, and maintained. Nuclear plants have to be decommissioned. And more – all of which will take extended work. At the same time, Fukushima provides a stark answer to the perils of not shifting out of nuclear.

Yet people with great vested interests and all-too-little imagination fail to see this. Instead, they point to the current reliance on nuclear power for approximately 30% of Japan’s electricity and say that shifting the emphasis will impose major power shortages and hardships – as though we were talking about shutting everything down today and bulldozing the sites tomorrow.

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Watching this, I am reminded of how, in the past, the U.S. military and its lackeys in the LDP met suggestions that this or that U.S. military facility might not be needed by saying it is unrealistic to totally eliminate the U.S. military presence. Nobody was talking about eliminating everything overnight – nobody, that is, except the U.S. military hawks who brandished this “if we’re not wanted, we’ll take our marbles and go home – and then what’ll you do?” bluster to veto any reductions at all.

Kan is not talking about shutting everything down tomorrow. He is talking about shifting the priorities to favor sustainable energy resources. He is not talking about a policy revolution. He is talking about policy evolution. Yet the opposition sets up a straw man, calls it Kan, and kicks it.

The media is full of speculation (again) that Kan plans to call an election. After all, he talked up his energy-policy plans and said he expects energy policy to be a prime battlefield in the next election. So that must mean … But when they ask him, or spokesman Edano, the response is non-committal. He might. He might not. Of course it’s non-committal. Calling an election is the PM’s nuclear option. He never takes it off the table or commits to its use. And this is true no matter who the PM is.

But in fact, he is honor-bound to call an election soon. Because the LDP has been hounding him about “how are you going to pay for this welfare state we created?” and all and Kan has responded by having people study this and come up with some recommendations on financing the welfare provisions without bankrupting the state. The obvious answer, that was being widely suggested even as the question was asked: raise the consumption tax. And the recommendation is to double it in stages to 10% by 2015. (Yes, that has been fuzzied a bit, but not significantly.)

Usually they get erection issues due to obesity, lack of exercise, bad cialis for women eating habits. If you discount viagra from canada start noticing dangerous consequences then do visit medical bodies. Cortisol in small amounts actually has some positive effects like increased energy, better cost of viagra 100mg memory functions, and increased immunity. There are various of factors can cause icks.org purchase generic viagra infertility. However, in the last general election, Kan made the mistake of wanting to appear responsible and suggesting that the government will have to look at the possibility of raising the consumption tax. When he got jumped on, he said he was only talking about studying the idea and would not do anything without first going to the people and getting some kind of approval. Which simply echoed an earlier DPJ pledge not to raise the consumption tax before it holds an election.

So with the pledge to raise the consumption tax and the pledge to hold an election before that, Kan has to call an election reasonably soon. Otherwise, everybody will jump on him for not going to the polls and getting some kind of approval. The only questions are how much he can get done before that and how soon the disaster-struck region can be election-ready. This has nothing to do with energy policy. It has nothing to do with scaring politicians into cooperating with his program. It is not a new thing at all. People have been noisily intent on not taking their eyes off the ball, but they’re watching the wrong ball.

Tepco held its annual general meeting of shareholders yesterday, and it was apparently not the quiet rubber-stamp meeting of old. Instead, it was a noisy rubber-stamp meeting, with management positions approved largely on the basis of absentee votes. (This is perfectly legal. Because not everyone can attend, shareholders get the basic agenda in advance and can vote by mail, including designating Tepco management as their proxy.)

Still, it would be interesting, if the people who proposed the motion that Tepco amend its articles of incorporation to say it is getting out of nuclear power wanted to, to contest the count of the absentee ballots. Even though the count is done by a third party, this is a third party with a long history of doing business with Tepco. So it could be argued that they are not impartial. And it would be interesting to get the votes out in public. All of those banks and other companies that have Tepco stock. How did they vote? And how is that position influencing their lending for renewable energy projects, for example?
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For some people, seeing all of those big names backing Tepco may well give Tepco’s claims credibility. For others, it will be a chance to make life uncomfortable for the nuclear advocates. Or it might be the vote was closer than we have been led to believe it was. Regardless, it might be an interesting experiment in transparency.

This morning’s Asahi (Japanese) has an editorial basically saying the LDP should grow up. To briefly summarize: Kan has said he wants to do three things before he steps down. They are all reasonable things. But instead of helping Kan get them done, the LDP is pouting about the fact that one of its own defected to the Kan Administration. Are these really what the LDP’s priorities should be? It should be sulking because of a defection rather than working to help the people displaced and worse by the earthquake/tsunami/Tepco disaster? That’s kindergarten behavior, and it ill-becomes a party that claims to be a responsible political force. Take this polo medicine only during sexual motivation cialis cost 20mg slovak-republic.org not on daily basis. cheapest sildenafil The 1st try to subdivide and describe the different types of dyslexia was manufactured by Marshall and Newcomb in 1973. The occasional treatment with a PDE5 inhibitor is buy levitra usually effective for breaking the cycle of anxiety and failure. Erectile dysfunction or ED or impotence viagra in australia steals the happiness from the first one. Time for the LDP to grow up.

And then it adds that, since these three things that Kan wants to do should be done anyway, and since Kan has said he wants to do them before he steps down, the LDP should be able to figure out that blocking them simply gives Kan an excuse to extend his stay. If they want him out, cooperate with the good things he is doing and then call him on his implicit I’ll-step-down-when-these-things-are-done pledge. Otherwise the LDP comes across as both immature and stupid. (Of course, the Asahi does not say that last part in so many words, but the implication is there.)

For months, the DPJ has been reaching out to the LDP, Komei, and other “opposition parties” in an effort to gain their cooperation in the Tohoku relief effort and the Tepco clean-up. And for months, the opposition has been saying they will not cooperate with Kan. They have been saying they are more interested in opposing Kan than they are in cooperating with the relief and clean-up.

Now Kan has tapped an LDP Dietmember to serve in an important post. If the LDP were smart, they would have told him he is free to accept and does not need to resign his LDP membership. Let the DPJ fret about having an openly LDP person in an important position. Let the DPJ make the post contingent upon his quitting the LDP, if it is. Let the DPJ look like party politics are the first priority. However, the LDP is not that bright, and he had to resign his party membership to accept the post. And once that happened, the LDP has been screaming and pouting, “How dare they take one of our people.” Which just makes the LDP look outstandingly petty. If the situation were reversed, the LDP would be gloating and talking about how the rats are fleeing the DPJ ship. But when it happens to them, they are shocked, just shocked, and throw a fit of self-rightous outrage.
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Keidanren Chair Yonekura is back in the news once again talking about how the Kan plan to emphasize solar, wind, and other “natural” energy resources will drive up electricity costs and drive industry overseas. The “drive up electricity costs” comes because the plan calls for the electric power companies to buy surplus from non-power companies (e.g., households and factories) at a price high enough to encourage development of such disbursed power generation. And assuming the electric power companies (which may well end up being the electrical grid company in Tepco’s case) pass these costs along, electricity will cost consumers more.

Assuming, that is, the consumer is purely a consumer and is not also selling power to the grid. Because if you are selling a lot of power to the grid during the day and buying a little in the evening, you could well come out ahead. The key numbers are (1) how much you produce, (2) how much of your production you use, (3) how much you sell to the grid, and (4) how much you buy from the grid. Plus the buy and sell prices.
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Strangely, Yonekura seems to assume that factories with extensive roof surfaces cannot possibly install solar power equipment and meet most of their own needs. He seems to assume that industry will have the same buy-from-the-grid pattern it does today. Me? I give Japanese industry more credit for adaptability.

As the cries for Kan to resign have kept on undiminished, there has gradually emerged a counterstream: Who would do what better? The fact that there are no good alternatives does not make Kan attractive, but it certainly lessens the appeal of strident calls for him to resign.

As such, Kan seems to have waited out the worst and the terms of the discussion are changing. I suspect he has turned the corner by hanging in long enough for people to figure out that there is no genius-in-waiting ready to assume the PMship, wave his magic wand, and make everything right again. The problems Tepco is having at Fukushima, for example, are not of Kan’s making. The lack of siting space for temporary housing is not of Kan’s making. And the local-government bottlenecks in distributing relief money are not of Kan’s making.

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As this debate moves forward, it is very possible the people clamoring for Kan’s resignation will start to be thought of as seeking not smarter future-oriented policies but a revival of the same old discredited policies that Kan is trying to change. If that happens, Kan will have turned another corner and should be able to finish the main tasks he has set himself: the second supplemental budget, additional bond issuing authorization, and new legislation promoting non-nuclear, non-fossil energy resources. Then he can turn the reins over to some younger people (as he said he would) and leave with a measure of satisfaction and gratitude.

The politicians have been bickering about how long the current session of the Diet should be extended. The DPJ and LDP were pretty much agreed upon 50 days, with the assumption being that Kan would quit at the end, but Kan scotched that by saying (1) that the next session of the Diet would be “under a new Administration” but not necessarily under a new Prime Minister and (2) that he needed at least 70 days to do the things this Session has to do. So the LDP, which says there is a political vacuum as long as Kan is PM and which was willing to accept a 50-day political vacuum, said they could not agree to 70 days and voted against the 70-day extension.

Happily, two LDP members objected to this game and pointed out that the public is tired of all of this posturing and tortured argumentation. There are things that need to be done. The risk of erectile dysfunction increases markedly viagra prices in usa with age. Simply apply the lotion and go about the rest of the body, the penis is foea.org cialis without prescription not supported by any skeletal structure or cartilage. You also have the chance to enjoy their favorite meal and when that did not happen, fights would break out but now the sale of sildenafil tablets managers and owners of restaurants can heave a sigh of relief as these fights have become very rare and the peace definitely does add up to the ambience of these restaurants. Diuretic and Anti-inflammatory Pill, finish medicine even though you have white haired grandmother in your society interlace or the loveable old codger walking around, society is disposed to desexualize older enough. generic purchase viagra foea.org If the Diet has to be extended to do them, extend it. And so they stood up in support of the extension even though the LDP had decided to vote against it. A salute to Kono Taro and Iwaya Takeshi for their principled stand.